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Queens Park Rangers vs Sheffield United
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 23:03 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
QPR 41%Draw 26%SHU 33%
Expected goals · QPR 1.5 · SHU 1.4 · 2.9 total
Expected goals are close (1.5 vs 1.4) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for QPR's win chance, the blue ones for SHU's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| QPR goals | SHU 0 | SHU 1 | SHU 2 | SHU 3 | SHU 4 | SHU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR 0 | 6% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| QPR 1 | 8% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| QPR 2 | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| QPR 3 | 3% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| QPR 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| QPR 5 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
QPR 40.7% · Draw 25.9% · SHU 33.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Queens Park Rangers have the edge at 41% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 38% of outcomes — 1-1 at 12% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
QPR
4-4-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Queens Park Rangers
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 21 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury
Sheffield United
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 21 Nov
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 23 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Shoulder Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.580%
OVER 2.556%
OVER 3.534%
BTTS60%
QPR CLEAN SHEET25%
SHU CLEAN SHEET21%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
QPR
SHU
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
QPR
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2SHU
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 1–2 to Charlton last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
QPR
1.34
LEAGUE1.35
SHU
1.46
SHU scores +0.12 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
QPR
1.53
LEAGUE1.35
SHU
1.28
SHU concedes 0.25 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
QPR
9th
Mid-table on 24 points.
SHU
7th
Mid-table on 25 points.
SHU sit 2 places higher in the table
