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Sheffield United vs Southampton
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 13:11 UTC · 13 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
SHU 37%Draw 28%SOU 35%
Expected goals · SHU 1.3 · SOU 1.3 · 2.6 total
Expected goals are close (1.3 vs 1.3) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SHU's win chance, the blue ones for SOU's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SHU goals | SOU 0 | SOU 1 | SOU 2 | SOU 3 | SOU 4 | SOU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHU 0 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| SHU 1 | 9% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| SHU 2 | 6% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SHU 3 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SHU 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SHU 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SHU 37.1% · Draw 27.8% · SOU 35.1%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Neither team separates themselves here — 37% for the slight favourite, 28% for the draw.
THE ANGLE
Sheffield United score 1.5/game at home, Southampton score 1.8/game away — the sides are matched closely.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
SHU
4-4-2SOU
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Sheffield United
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 21 Nov
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 23 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Shoulder Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Southampton
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 23 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.549%
OVER 3.527%
BTTS54%
SHU CLEAN SHEET28%
SOU CLEAN SHEET26%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SHU
SOU
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SHU
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 1–2 to Charlton last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1SOU
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 0–1 to Preston last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
SHU
1.46
LEAGUE1.35
SOU
1.79
SOU scores +0.33 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
SHU
1.28
LEAGUE1.35
SOU
1.05
SOU concedes 0.23 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
SHU
7th
Mid-table on 25 points.
SOU
8th
Mid-table on 24 points.
SHU sit 1 place higher in the table
