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Portsmouth vs West Ham United
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 14:53 UTC · 13 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
POR 33%Draw 23%WHU 43%
Expected goals · POR 1.6 · WHU 1.9 · 3.5 total
WHU's attack (1.48x the league average) against POR's defence (1.03x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for POR's win chance, the blue ones for WHU's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| POR goals | WHU 0 | WHU 1 | WHU 2 | WHU 3 | WHU 4 | WHU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| POR 1 | 4% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| POR 2 | 4% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| POR 3 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| POR 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| POR 5 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
POR 33.2% · Draw 23.3% · WHU 43.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
West Ham United have the edge at 43% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
West Ham United's away advantage is the separator — they score 2.0/game there, Portsmouth concede 1.2/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
POR
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Portsmouth
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Calf Injury · Could return, due 21 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Ankle Injury
West Ham United
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 15 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.587%
OVER 2.567%
OVER 3.546%
BTTS68%
POR CLEAN SHEET16%
WHU CLEAN SHEET20%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
POR
WHU
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
POR
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 1–2 to Stoke City last outSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1WHU
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 1–2 to Blackburn last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
POR
1.46
LEAGUE1.35
WHU
2.01
WHU scores +0.55 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
POR
1.18
LEAGUE1.35
WHU
1.40
POR concedes 0.22 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
POR
11th
Mid-table on 22 points.
WHU
10th
Mid-table on 23 points.
WHU sit 1 place higher in the table