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Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 22:59 UTC · 11 NovNOR 51%Draw 25%QPR 24%
Expected goals · NOR 1.8 · QPR 1.2 · 3.0 total
NOR's attack (1.11x the league average) against QPR's defence (1.07x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for NOR's win chance, the blue ones for QPR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| NOR goals | QPR 0 | QPR 1 | QPR 2 | QPR 3 | QPR 4 | QPR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOR 0 | 6% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NOR 1 | 9% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| NOR 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| NOR 3 | 5% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NOR 4 | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NOR 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
NOR 51.0% · Draw 24.7% · QPR 24.3%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Norwich City have the edge at 51% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Norwich City's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.7/game there, Queens Park Rangers concede 1.5/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
NOR
4-2-3-1QPR
4-4-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Norwich City
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Ligament Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Shoulder Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Queens Park Rangers
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 21 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.580%
OVER 2.556%
OVER 3.534%
BTTS58%
NOR CLEAN SHEET31%
QPR CLEAN SHEET17%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
NOR
QPR
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
NOR
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
2
games without concedingLAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1QPR
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
NOR
1.68
LEAGUE1.35
QPR
1.34
NOR scores +0.34 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
NOR
1.44
LEAGUE1.35
QPR
1.53
NOR concedes 0.09 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
NOR
12th
Mid-table on 21 points.
QPR
9th
Mid-table on 24 points.
QPR sit 3 places higher in the table