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West Ham United vs Preston North End
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 21:38 UTC · 9 NovWHU 65%Draw 19%PNE 16%
Expected goals · WHU 2.4 · PNE 1.1 · 3.5 total
WHU's attack (1.35x the league average) against PNE's defence (1.20x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for WHU's win chance, the blue ones for PNE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| WHU goals | PNE 0 | PNE 1 | PNE 2 | PNE 3 | PNE 4 | PNE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WHU 0 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| WHU 1 | 6% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| WHU 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| WHU 3 | 7% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| WHU 4 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| WHU 5 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
WHU 65.2% · Draw 19.0% · PNE 15.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (3.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
West Ham United should control this — 65% win probability and 2.0 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 2.4 vs 1.1 leaves little room for Preston North End to force this open.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
WHU
4-4-2PNE
3-4-1-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
West Ham United
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 15 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Preston North End
Muscle Injury · Expected back 23 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 23 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.588%
OVER 2.569%
OVER 3.548%
BTTS63%
WHU CLEAN SHEET32%
PNE CLEAN SHEET9%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
WHU
PNE
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
WHU
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to Blackburn last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3PNE
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
WHU
2.01
LEAGUE1.35
PNE
1.22
WHU scores +0.79 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
WHU
1.40
LEAGUE1.35
PNE
1.64
WHU concedes 0.24 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
WHU
10th
Mid-table on 23 points.
PNE
24th
In the relegation zone on 8 points.
WHU sit 14 places higher in the table
