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Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 12:47 UTC · 9 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
SWA 43%Draw 30%WBA 27%
Expected goals · SWA 1.3 · WBA 1.0 · 2.3 total
SWA's attack (0.99x, below the league average) against WBA's defence (0.88x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SWA's win chance, the blue ones for WBA's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SWA goals | WBA 0 | WBA 1 | WBA 2 | WBA 3 | WBA 4 | WBA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWA 0 | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| SWA 1 | 13% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SWA 2 | 9% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SWA 3 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SWA 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SWA 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SWA 43.0% · Draw 29.7% · WBA 27.3%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Swansea City have the edge at 43% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Swansea City are favoured but the draw at 30% is too high to ignore — this doesn't feel like a walkover.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
SWA
4-3-3Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Swansea City
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 19 Nov
Suspended · Red card · Could return, due 21 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 23 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury
West Bromwich Albion
Muscle Injury · Expected back 23 Nov
Groin Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Cruciate Ligament Injury
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.567%
OVER 2.540%
OVER 3.519%
BTTS46%
SWA CLEAN SHEET38%
WBA CLEAN SHEET27%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SWA
WBA
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SWA
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 1–2 to Birmingham last outSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4WBA
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
11
points · W3 D2 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
SWA
1.30
LEAGUE1.35
WBA
1.27
Attacks level on season average
CONCEDED · PER 90
SWA
1.35
LEAGUE1.35
WBA
1.08
WBA concedes 0.27 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
SWA
6th
In the promotion play-off places on 26 points.
WBA
5th
In the promotion play-off places on 28 points.
WBA sit 1 place higher in the table
