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Sheffield United vs Watford
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 18:51 UTC · 9 NovSHU 61%Draw 24%WAT 15%
Expected goals · SHU 1.8 · WAT 0.8 · 2.6 total
SHU's attack (1.01x the league average) against WAT's defence (1.20x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.0.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SHU's win chance, the blue ones for WAT's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SHU goals | WAT 0 | WAT 1 | WAT 2 | WAT 3 | WAT 4 | WAT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHU 0 | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SHU 1 | 13% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SHU 2 | 12% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SHU 3 | 7% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SHU 4 | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SHU 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SHU 61.5% · Draw 23.7% · WAT 14.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Sheffield United should control this — 61% win probability and 1.5 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.8 vs 0.8 leaves little room for Watford to force this open.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
SHU
4-4-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Sheffield United
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 21 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 23 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Shoulder Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Watford
Muscle Injury · Expected back 23 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.548%
OVER 3.526%
BTTS46%
SHU CLEAN SHEET46%
WAT CLEAN SHEET16%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SHU
WAT
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SHU
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 1–2 to Charlton last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1WAT
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
2
games without concedingLAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
SHU
1.46
LEAGUE1.35
WAT
0.94
SHU scores +0.52 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
SHU
1.28
LEAGUE1.35
WAT
1.56
SHU concedes 0.28 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
SHU
7th
Mid-table on 25 points.
WAT
20th
Hovering above relegation on 15 points.
SHU sit 13 places higher in the table
