Photo: Arne Müseler , cropped by Blackcat, CC BY-SA 3.0
Turning point · 72'Vitor Reis2–2Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0+cup
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 25%. Brighton had more shots (17–13) and more on target (6–3).
Pre-match call frozen 28 Oct 2026 · model dc-v2.0+cup
Tactical shift
Michael Svoboda
Booked
11'
Malick Yalcouyé
Assist · Georginio Rutter
30'
0–1
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Booked
32'
Mateo Kovacic
Assist · Phil Foden
40'
1–1
Rayan Aït-Nouri
On for Ayyoub Bouaddi
45'
Georginio Rutter
Assist · Jaouen Hadjam
47'
1–2
Jérémy Doku
On for Allan Elias
61'
Vitor Reis
72'
2–2
Abdukodir Khusanov
On for Rico Lewis
76'
Yankuba Minteh
On for Diego Gómez
76'
Matt O'Riley
On for Georginio Rutter
81'
Lewis Dunk
On for Michael Svoboda
85'
Enzo Fernández
On for Nico O'Reilly
87'
Mats Wieffer
Booked
90'+1'
Lewis Dunk
Booked
90'+2'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
High Pressing Battle
Both sides pressed aggressively. Territory was won and lost in the opposition half.
40 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 23%
kill rate · 15%
accuracy · 35%
kill rate · 12%
Manchester City turned 15% of shots into goals to Brighton's 12%.
Shots on Target
Attack
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings4
Home
2.9 goals / game
3
Away
3
Draw
Key context
Venue
Etihad Stadium
Kick-off
28 Oct · 19:30 UTC
Referee
Andy Madley
England · 3.7 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
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