| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9' | home | Daniel Crowley | 1-0 |
| 39' | home | Sam Nombe | 2-0 |
| 51' | home | Jack Sanders | 3-0 |
| 54' | away | Emeka Adeile | 3-1 |
| 56' | home | Harvey Araujo | 4-1 |
| 67' | home | Sam Nombe | 5-1 |
| 78' | home | Ben Wiles | 6-1 |
| 81' | away | Kain Adom | 6-2 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: MKD 59% · Draw 23% · BRT 18%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Milton Keynes Dons won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 59%. Milton Keynes Dons had more shots (20–5) and more on target (10–2).
Pre-match call frozen 14 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Daniel Crowley
9'
1–0
Sam Nombe
39'
2–0
Jack Sanders
51'
3–0
Emeka Adeile
54'
3–1
Harvey Araujo
Own goal
56'
4–1
Sam Nombe
67'
5–1
Ben Wiles
On for Daniel Crowley
72'
Ben Wiles
78'
6–1
Cohen Bramall
On for Elijah Campbell
80'
Kain Adom
81'
6–2
Miles Henry
On for Mark O’Mahony
82'
Harvey Araujo
Booked
83'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
26 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 50%
kill rate · 30%
accuracy · 40%
kill rate · 40%
Burton Albion turned 40% of shots into goals to Milton Keynes Dons's 30%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
League OneKey context
Venue
Stadium MK
Kick-off
14 Nov · 15:00 UTC
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
