Photo: Barry Ephgrave, CC BY-SA 2.0
Turning point · 85'Red CardForecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Luton Town won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 45%.
Pre-match call frozen 24 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Nahki Wells
39'
1–0
Wes Burns
On for Caleb Okoli
45'
Jake Richards
On for Tudor Mendel-Idowu
64'
John Lundstram
Booked
68'
Conor Chaplin
On for Sammy Braybrooke
73'
Callum Marshall
On for Nahki Wells
76'
Liam Cullen
On for Kamari Doyle
83'
John Lundstram
Sent off
85'
Emilio Lawrence
On for Kasey Palmer
85'
Bobby De Cordova-Reid
On for Warren O'Hora
89'
Liam Cullen
90'
1–1
Wes Burns
Booked
90'+3'
Callum Marshall
94'
2–1
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
High Pressing Battle
Both sides pressed aggressively. Territory was won and lost in the opposition half.
22 shots
Expected goals over time
1.60 – 1.05
accuracy · 73%
kill rate · 18%
accuracy · 45%
kill rate · 9%
Luton Town turned 18% of shots into goals to Leicester City's 9%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
