Photo: Barry Ephgrave, CC BY-SA 2.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Luton Town won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 53%. Luton Town had more shots (23–14) and more on target (6–4).
Pre-match call frozen 20 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Mads Andersen
2'
1–0
Isaiah Jones
On for Hakeem Odofin
41'
Nahki Wells
41'
2–0
Jubril Adesope Okedina
On for Tyrese Noslin
45'
Mads Andersen
Booked
45'+1'
Mackenzie Kirk
58'
2–1
Jake Richards
On for Tudor Mendel-Idowu
61'
Amani Richards
On for Tobi Ademeyo
74'
Jake Richards
Booked
75'
Callum Marshall
On for Nahki Wells
79'
Jonathan Bland
On for Vimal Yoganathan
83'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
38 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 26%
kill rate · 9%
accuracy · 29%
kill rate · 7%
Luton Town turned 9% of shots into goals to Barnsley's 7%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
