Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Stevenage won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 39%. Luton Town had more shots (10–9) but fewer on target (2–3).
Pre-match call frozen 10 Sept 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Daniel Phillips
Booked
4'
Daniel Kemp
23'
1–0
Lewis Freestone
Booked
26'
Liam Walsh
Booked
30'
Daniel Kemp
Booked
44'
Ben Broggio
On for Jordan Roberts
56'
Kasey Palmer
On for Gideon Kodua
58'
Nahki Wells
On for Callum Marshall
66'
Josh Magennis
70'
2–0
Mads Andersen
75'
2–1
Saxon Earley
On for Oliver Sanderson
76'
Saxon Earley
Booked
80'
Tudor Mendel-Idowu
On for Hakeem Odofin
84'
Matthew Smith
On for Daniel Phillips
85'
Luther Wildin
Booked
90'+3'
Mads Andersen
Booked
90'+5'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
19 shots
Expected goals over time
1.33 – 0.83
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 22%
accuracy · 20%
kill rate · 10%
Stevenage turned 22% of shots into goals to Luton Town's 10%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
League OneKey context
Venue
Lamex Stadium
Kick-off
10 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Referee
Ben Toner
England · 4.2 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
