Nicolás Ibáñez
Assist · Andres Montaño
24'
0–1
Photo: Arne Müseler, CC BY-SA 3.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24' | away | Nicolás Ibáñez | 0-1 |
| 39' | home | Juan Brunetta | 1-1 |
| 51' | away | Andres Montaño | 1-2 |
| 65' | home | Guillermo Martínez | 2-2 |
| 78' | away | Rodolfo Rotondi | 2-3 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: TUA 28% · Draw 21% · CAZ 51%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Cruz Azul won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 49%. Tigres UANL had more shots (19–18) and more on target (8–7).
Pre-match call frozen 8 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Nicolás Ibáñez
Assist · Andres Montaño
24'
0–1
José Paradela
Booked
29'
Érik Lira
Booked
34'
Mauro Laínez
Booked
37'
Juan Brunetta
Assist · Fernando Gorriarán
39'
1–1
Joaquim
On for Rafael Guerrero
45'
Andres Montaño
51'
1–2
Carlos Rodríguez
On for Luka Romero
64'
Guillermo Martínez
65'
2–2
Diego Lainez
On for Henrique Simeone Koifman
66'
Rodolfo Rotondi
On for Omar Campos
69'
Willer Ditta
On for Jorge Rodarte
70'
Rodolfo Rotondi
Booked
75'
Osinachi Ebere
On for Nicolás Ibáñez
77'
Rodolfo Rotondi
Assist · Ángel Márquez
78'
2–3
Fernando Gorriarán
Booked
81'
Rodrigo Aguirre
On for Guillermo Martínez
84'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
37 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 42%
kill rate · 11%
accuracy · 39%
kill rate · 17%
Cruz Azul turned 17% of shots into goals to Tigres UANL's 11%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
Mexican Liga BBVA MXKey context
Venue
Estadio Universitario
Kick-off
8 Nov · 01:00 UTC
Referee
Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas
Mexico · 4.9 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.