Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 12:05 UTC · 11 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
CHI 43%Draw 22%CLT 35%
Expected goals · CHI 2.0 · CLT 1.8 · 3.8 total
CHI's attack (1.09x the league average) against CLT's defence (1.07x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CHI's win chance, the blue ones for CLT's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CHI goals | CLT 0 | CLT 1 | CLT 2 | CLT 3 | CLT 4 | CLT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI 0 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| CHI 1 | 4% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| CHI 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| CHI 3 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| CHI 4 | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| CHI 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
CHI 42.7% · Draw 22.3% · CLT 35.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (2.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Chicago Fire FC have the edge at 43% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 2.0 vs 1.8 gives Chicago Fire FC the edge but leaves room for Charlotte FC to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CHI
4-4-2Noah Allen · Mbekezeli Mbokazi · Jack Elliott · Jonathan Dean
Anton Salétros · Dje Tah D'Avilla · Maren Haile-Selassie · Philip Zinckernagel · Johan Gomez
Bench · 12
Lewandowski, Barroso, Olsen, Gutman, Mekvabishvili, Cohen +6
CLT
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Chicago Fire FC
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Knock Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.589%
OVER 2.572%
OVER 3.552%
BTTS72%
CHI CLEAN SHEET17%
CLT CLEAN SHEET14%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CHI
CLT
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CHI
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 3–4 to Columbus Crew last outSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2CLT
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.49SCORED · PER 90
CHI
1.82
LEAGUE1.49
CLT
1.77
CHI scores +0.05 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CHI
1.72
LEAGUE1.49
CLT
1.44
CLT concedes 0.28 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
CHI
6th
On 55 points.
CLT
7th
On 54 points.
CHI sit 1 place higher in the table
