Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 03:09 UTC · 12 NovDAL 51%Draw 24%POR 26%
Expected goals · DAL 1.9 · POR 1.3 · 3.2 total
DAL's attack (1.04x the league average) against POR's defence (1.07x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for DAL's win chance, the blue ones for POR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| DAL goals | POR 0 | POR 1 | POR 2 | POR 3 | POR 4 | POR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL 0 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| DAL 1 | 7% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| DAL 2 | 7% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| DAL 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| DAL 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| DAL 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
DAL 50.7% · Draw 23.6% · POR 25.7%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
FC Dallas have the edge at 51% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.9 vs 1.3 gives FC Dallas the edge but leaves room for Portland Timbers to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
DAL
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
FC Dallas
No absences reported.
Portland Timbers
Leg Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Shoulder Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Back Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Concussion · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.583%
OVER 2.562%
OVER 3.540%
BTTS63%
DAL CLEAN SHEET27%
POR CLEAN SHEET15%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
DAL
POR
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
DAL
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1POR
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
13
points · W4 D1 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.49SCORED · PER 90
DAL
1.68
LEAGUE1.49
POR
1.66
Attacks level on season average
CONCEDED · PER 90
DAL
1.51
LEAGUE1.49
POR
1.70
DAL concedes 0.19 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
DAL
5th
On 58 points.
POR
14th
On 46 points.
DAL sit 9 places higher in the table
