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Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 07:37 UTC · 14 NovCLT 52%Draw 22%CHI 26%
Expected goals · CLT 2.1 · CHI 1.5 · 3.6 total
CLT's attack (1.17x the league average) against CHI's defence (1.05x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CLT's win chance, the blue ones for CHI's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CLT goals | CHI 0 | CHI 1 | CHI 2 | CHI 3 | CHI 4 | CHI 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLT 0 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| CLT 1 | 5% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| CLT 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| CLT 3 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| CLT 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CLT 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
CLT 51.6% · Draw 22.1% · CHI 26.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (2.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Charlotte FC have the edge at 52% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Charlotte FC have the lean — 1-1 at 9% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CLT
4-2-3-1CHI
4-4-2Noah Allen · Mbekezeli Mbokazi · Jack Elliott · Jonathan Dean
Anton Salétros · Dje Tah D'Avilla · Maren Haile-Selassie · Philip Zinckernagel · Johan Gomez
Bench · 12
Lewandowski, Barroso, Olsen, Gutman, Mekvabishvili, Cohen +6
Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Chicago Fire FC
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Knock Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.587%
OVER 2.569%
OVER 3.547%
BTTS68%
CLT CLEAN SHEET23%
CHI CLEAN SHEET12%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CLT
CHI
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CLT
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1CHI
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 3–4 to Columbus Crew last outSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.49SCORED · PER 90
CLT
1.77
LEAGUE1.49
CHI
1.82
CHI scores +0.05 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CLT
1.44
LEAGUE1.49
CHI
1.72
CLT concedes 0.28 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
CLT
7th
On 54 points.
CHI
6th
On 55 points.
CHI sit 1 place higher in the table
