William Yarbrough
On for Luka Gavran
23'
Photo: Pablopicassotoronto, CC BY-SA 4.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Toronto FC won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 57%. CF Montréal had more shots (16–14) and more on target (7–5).
Pre-match call frozen 10 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
William Yarbrough
On for Luka Gavran
23'
Daniel Ríos
51'
0–1
Brayan Vera
Booked
55'
Djordje Mihailovic
On for Jonathan Osorio
61'
Samuel Piette
On for Victor Loturi
72'
Lewis Morgan
On for Alonso Coello
82'
Brandan Craig
Booked
84'
Wikelman Carmona
On for Daniel Ríos
86'
Luca Petrasso
Booked
87'
Lewis Morgan
Assist · Niklas Dorsch
93'
1–1
Djordje Mihailovic
Assist · Theo Corbeanu
95'
2–1
Richie Laryea
Booked
90'+6'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
30 shots
Expected goals over time
1.66 – 1.67
accuracy · 36%
kill rate · 14%
accuracy · 44%
kill rate · 6%
Toronto FC turned 14% of shots into goals to CF Montréal's 6%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
BMO Field
Kick-off
10 Oct · 17:00 UTC
Referee
Allen Chapman
USA · 3.4 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.