Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Nashville SC won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 42%. Nashville SC had more shots (24–11) and more on target (11–5).
Pre-match call frozen 10 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Reed Baker-Whiting
30'
0–1
Guilherme Biro
Booked
37'
Brendan Hines-Ike
On for Jon Bell
45'
Christian Ramírez
On for Myrto Uzuni
60'
Besard Sabovic
On for Jorge Alastuey
61'
Elias Saad
67'
0–2
Shakur Mohammed
On for Elias Saad
69'
Przemyslaw Placheta
On for Mikkel Desler
69'
Brandon Vázquez
Assist · Facundo Torres
76'
1–2
Edvard Tagseth
On for Patrick Yazbek
76'
Shakur Mohammed
Booked
78'
Brian Schwake
Booked
83'
Shakur Mohammed
88'
1–3
Josh Bauer
On for Cristian Espinoza
89'
Bryan Acosta
On for Matthew Corcoran
90'
Hany Mukhtar
Assist · Shakur Mohammed
91'
1–4
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
35 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 45%
kill rate · 9%
accuracy · 46%
kill rate · 17%
Nashville SC turned 17% of shots into goals to Austin FC's 9%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
Q2 Stadium
Kick-off
11 Oct · 00:30 UTC
Referee
Ismail Elfath
USA · 3.6 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
