Justin Che
Own goal
3'
0–1
Photo: Sam Szapucki, CC BY 2.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Toronto FC won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 28%. Red Bull New York had more shots (15–6) and the same number on target (4–4).
Pre-match call frozen 17 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Justin Che
Own goal
3'
0–1
Jackson Gilman
On for Kobe Franklin
28'
Emil Forsberg
On for Adri Mehmeti
45'
Zane Monlouis
Booked
52'
Jorge Ruvalcaba
On for Cameron Harper
60'
Lewis Morgan
Booked
67'
Derrick Etienne Jr.
On for Theo Corbeanu
68'
Pedro Castro
On for Justin Che
71'
Dániel Sallói
Assist · Matheus Pereira
82'
0–2
Alonso Coello
On for Lewis Morgan
86'
Yellow Card
Derrick Etienne Jr.
87'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
22 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 27%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 67%
kill rate · 33%
Toronto FC turned 33% of shots into goals to Red Bull New York's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Kick-off
17 Oct · 23:30 UTC
Referee
Marcos de Oliveira
USA · 3.5 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.