Photo: Lectrician2, CC BY-SA 4.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Real Salt Lake won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 40%. Real Salt Lake had more shots (13–8) and more on target (8–3).
Pre-match call frozen 18 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Morgan Guilavogui
Assist · Noel Caliskan
11'
0–1
Sergi Solans
14'
0–2
Taylor Calheira
Assist · André Luiz
26'
1–2
Luc de Fougerolles
Booked
45'+1'
Morgan Guilavogui
61'
1–3
Capita
On for Stephen Afrifa
61'
Jacob Davis
On for Kwaku Agyabeng
62'
Zach Booth
On for Dominik Marczuk
63'
Juan Manuel Sanabria
Booked
72'
Ian James
On for Zorhan Bassong
73'
Calvin Harris
Booked
74'
Jacob Bartlett
Booked
76'
Aiden Hezarkhani
On for Saba Lobjanidze
77'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
21 shots
Expected goals over time
0.70 – 0.98
accuracy · 38%
kill rate · 13%
accuracy · 62%
kill rate · 23%
Real Salt Lake turned 23% of shots into goals to Sporting Kansas City's 13%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
Sporting Park
Kick-off
18 Oct · 00:30 UTC
Referee
Alexis Da Silva
USA · 4.7 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
