Photo: BrokenSphere, CC BY-SA 3.0
Turning point · 70'Preston Judd1–1Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 26%. San Jose Earthquakes had more shots (14–6) but fewer on target (2–4).
Pre-match call frozen 18 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Shakur Mohammed
Booked
28'
Hany Mukhtar
34'
0–1
Beau Leroux
Booked
39'
Elias Saad
On for Shakur Mohammed
45'
Preston Judd
Booked
45'+3'
Ousseni Bouda
On for Timo Werner
67'
Preston Judd
Assist · Eduard Löwen
70'
1–1
Edvard Tagseth
On for Patrick Yazbek
72'
Nick Fernandez
On for Jamar Ricketts
76'
Warren Madrigal
On for Cristian Espinoza
79'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
20 shots
Expected goals over time
0.74 – 0.42
accuracy · 14%
kill rate · 7%
accuracy · 67%
kill rate · 17%
Nashville SC turned 17% of shots into goals to San Jose Earthquakes's 7%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
PayPal Park
Kick-off
18 Oct · 02:30 UTC
Referee
Joseph Dickerson
USA · 4.5 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
Desk Stories
