Miguel Almirón
Assist · Alexey Miranchuk
22'
1–0
Photo: Atlanta Falcons, CC BY 3.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Atlanta United FC won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 41%. Atlanta United FC had more shots (20–13) and more on target (8–3).
Pre-match call frozen 1 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Miguel Almirón
Assist · Alexey Miranchuk
22'
1–0
Dániel Sallói
Booked
33'
Cooper Sanchez
Assist · Miguel Almirón
40'
2–0
Alexey Miranchuk
51'
3–0
Alonso Coello
On for Niklas Dorsch
54'
Richard Chukwu
On for Nickseon Gomis
69'
Jay Fortune
On for Miguel Almirón
70'
Lewis Morgan
Assist · Josh Sargent
79'
3–1
Tristan Muyumba
On for Cooper Sanchez
80'
Emilio Aristizábal
On for Theo Corbeanu
86'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
33 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 40%
kill rate · 15%
accuracy · 23%
kill rate · 8%
Atlanta United FC turned 15% of shots into goals to Toronto FC's 8%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Kick-off
1 Nov · 21:30 UTC
Referee
Filip Dujic
Canada · 4.1 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.