Photo: Photo by Joon Han Contact: [email protected], CC BY-SA 3.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8' | home | Robert Lewandowski | 1-0 |
| 16' | away | Gonzalo Tapia | 1-1 |
| 22' | home | Robert Lewandowski | 2-1 |
| 23' | away | Anass Zaroury | 2-2 |
| 45'+4' | home | Maren Haile-Selassie | 3-2 |
| 62' | away | Gonzalo Tapia | 3-3 |
| 90'+3' | away | Brais Méndez | 3-4 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: CHI 39% · Draw 21% · CLB 40%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Columbus Crew won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 39%. Chicago Fire FC had more shots (14–11) and the same number on target (6–6).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Robert Lewandowski
8'
1–0
Noah Allen
Booked
11'
Gonzalo Tapia
16'
1–1
Robert Lewandowski
22'
2–1
Anass Zaroury
23'
2–2
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
Booked
27'
Brais Méndez
On for Sékou Tidiany Bangoura
45'
Anzor Mekvabishvili
On for D'Avilla Dje Tah
45'
Maren Haile-Selassie
49'
3–2
Jonathan Bamba
Booked
53'
Gonzalo Tapia
62'
3–3
Gonzalo Tapia
Booked
62'
Jack Elliott
On for Mbekezeli Mbokazi
68'
André Franco
On for Jonathan Bamba
69'
Anzor Mekvabishvili
Booked
74'
André Gomes
On for Dylan Chambost
78'
Santiago Rodríguez
Booked
79'
Puso Dithejane
On for Philip Zinckernagel
83'
Brooks Lennon
On for Mohamed Farsi
83'
Jamal Thiaré
On for Gonzalo Tapia
90'+1'
Brais Méndez
93'
3–4
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
26 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 43%
kill rate · 21%
accuracy · 55%
kill rate · 36%
Columbus Crew turned 36% of shots into goals to Chicago Fire FC's 21%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
SeatGeek Stadium
Kick-off
7 Nov · 21:00 UTC
Referee
Rosendo Mendoza
USA · 4.9 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
