Photo: Cornfield948, CC BY-SA 3.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61' | away | Sam Surridge | 0-1 |
| 86' | away | Sam Surridge | 0-2 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: CIN 31% · Draw 23% · NSH 46%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Nashville SC won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 43%.
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Obinna Nwobodo
Booked
31'
Evander
Booked
41'
Miles Robinson
On for Teenage Hadebe
45'
Samuel Gidi
Booked
45'+3'
Sam Surridge
Assist · Andy Nájar
61'
0–1
Kyle Smith
Booked
65'
Kenji Mboma Dem
On for Tom Barlow
66'
Shakur Mohammed
On for Cristian Espinoza
74'
Ayoub Jabbari
On for Kyle Smith
81'
Alex Muyl
On for Elias Saad
83'
Sam Surridge
Assist · Patrick Yazbek
86'
0–2
José Andrés Martínez
On for Obinna Nwobodo
87'
Pavel Bucha
Booked
88'
Warren Madrigal
On for Hany Mukhtar
90'
Alex Muyl
Booked
90'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
28 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 36%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 36%
kill rate · 14%
Nashville SC turned 14% of shots into goals to FC Cincinnati's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
TQL Stadium
Kick-off
7 Nov · 21:00 UTC
Referee
Tori Penso
USA · 4.2 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
