Cavan Sullivan
Assist · Indiana Vassilev
28'
1–0
Photo: Something Original ( talk ), CC BY-SA 3.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28' | home | Cavan Sullivan | 1-0 |
| 41' | home | Quinn Sullivan | 2-0 |
| 45'+7' | away | Josh Sargent | 2-1 |
| 58' | home | Cavan Sullivan | 3-1 |
| 73' | home | Bruno Damiani | 4-1 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: PHI 66% · Draw 20% · TOR 15%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Philadelphia Union won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 66%. Philadelphia Union had more shots (19–6) and more on target (9–1).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Cavan Sullivan
Assist · Indiana Vassilev
28'
1–0
Quinn Sullivan
41'
2–0
Jovan Lukic
Booked
45'
Andrew Rick
On for Andre Blake
45'
Josh Sargent
Assist · Djordje Mihailovic
52'
2–1
Cavan Sullivan
Assist · Quinn Sullivan
58'
3–1
Dániel Sallói
On for Alejandro Piedrahita
61'
Theo Corbeanu
On for Lewis Morgan
62'
Jonathan Osorio
Booked
67'
Bruno Damiani
73'
4–1
Niklas Dorsch
On for Markus Cimermancic
74'
Ben Bender
On for Jovan Lukic
77'
Emilio Aristizábal
On for Josh Sargent
78'
Ezekiel Alladoh
On for Bruno Damiani
82'
Ben Bender
Booked
87'
Malik Jakupovic
On for Cavan Sullivan
90'
Emilio Aristizábal
Booked
90'+3'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
25 shots
Expected goals over time
3.53 – 0.55
accuracy · 47%
kill rate · 21%
accuracy · 17%
kill rate · 17%
Philadelphia Union turned 21% of shots into goals to Toronto FC's 17%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
Subaru Park
Kick-off
7 Nov · 21:00 UTC
Referee
Tim Ford
USA · 4.3 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.