Ariel Lassiter
Assist · Vincent Janssen
3'
0–1
| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3' | away | Ariel Lassiter | 0-1 |
| 70' | away | Kristoffer Velde | 0-2 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: ATX 40% · Draw 25% · POR 36%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Portland Timbers won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 35%. Austin FC had more shots (16–9) and more on target (7–4).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Ariel Lassiter
Assist · Vincent Janssen
3'
0–1
Cole Bassett
On for Eric Izoita
45'
Micah Burton
Booked
57'
Przemyslaw Placheta
On for Oleksandr Svatok
64'
Kristoffer Velde
70'
0–2
Myrto Uzuni
On for Micah Burton
71'
Jimer Fory
On for Ian Smith
77'
Omir Fernández
On for Ariel Lassiter
82'
Besard Sabovic
On for Jorge Alastuey
84'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
25 shots
Expected goals over time
0.64 – 0.40
accuracy · 44%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 44%
kill rate · 22%
Portland Timbers turned 22% of shots into goals to Austin FC's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
Q2 Stadium
Kick-off
8 Nov · 00:00 UTC
Referee
Victor Rivas
USA · 4.6 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.