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Dundee United vs St Johnstone
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 08:23 UTC · 15 NovDUN 53%Draw 26%STJ 22%
Expected goals · DUN 1.7 · STJ 1.0 · 2.7 total
DUN's attack (0.96x, below the league average) against STJ's defence (1.14x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for DUN's win chance, the blue ones for STJ's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| DUN goals | STJ 0 | STJ 1 | STJ 2 | STJ 3 | STJ 4 | STJ 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUN 0 | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| DUN 1 | 11% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| DUN 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| DUN 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| DUN 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| DUN 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
DUN 52.7% · Draw 25.7% · STJ 21.7%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Dundee United edge this at 53% — expected goals of 1.7 to 1.0 give them the lean.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 37% of outcomes — 1-1 at 12% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
DUN
4-3-3STJ
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.575%
OVER 2.550%
OVER 3.528%
BTTS52%
DUN CLEAN SHEET37%
STJ CLEAN SHEET19%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
DUN
STJ
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
DUN
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
9
points · W2 D3 L0STJ
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
6
points · W1 D3 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.38SCORED · PER 90
DUN
1.44
LEAGUE1.38
STJ
1.30
DUN scores +0.14 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
DUN
1.39
LEAGUE1.38
STJ
1.54
DUN concedes 0.15 fewer per 90