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Aberdeen vs Dundee
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 13:07 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
ABE 31%Draw 30%DUN 39%
Expected goals · ABE 1.1 · DUN 1.2 · 2.3 total
Expected goals are close (1.1 vs 1.2) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ABE's win chance, the blue ones for DUN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ABE goals | DUN 0 | DUN 1 | DUN 2 | DUN 3 | DUN 4 | DUN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABE 0 | 11% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ABE 1 | 10% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ABE 2 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ABE 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ABE 4 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ABE 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ABE 31.5% · Draw 29.7% · DUN 38.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
The draw at 30% is the most likely single outcome — neither side is above 39%.
THE ANGLE
Aberdeen score 1.0/game at home, Dundee score 1.5/game away — the sides are matched closely.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ABE
4-2-3-1DUN
4-4-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Aberdeen
Foot Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Tendon Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Thigh Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.568%
OVER 2.541%
OVER 3.520%
BTTS48%
ABE CLEAN SHEET29%
DUN CLEAN SHEET34%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ABE
DUN
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ABE
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–4 to Hibernian last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4DUN
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to ST Johnstone last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.38SCORED · PER 90
ABE
1.00
LEAGUE1.38
DUN
1.52
DUN scores +0.52 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ABE
1.54
LEAGUE1.38
DUN
1.29
DUN concedes 0.25 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
ABE
11th
On 11 points.
DUN
5th
On 17 points.
DUN sit 6 places higher in the table