Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Falkirk vs St Johnstone
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 09:48 UTC · 10 NovFAL 55%Draw 24%STJ 20%
Expected goals · FAL 1.8 · STJ 1.0 · 2.8 total
FAL's attack (1.03x the league average) against STJ's defence (1.14x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.8.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for FAL's win chance, the blue ones for STJ's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| FAL goals | STJ 0 | STJ 1 | STJ 2 | STJ 3 | STJ 4 | STJ 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAL 0 | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| FAL 1 | 10% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| FAL 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| FAL 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| FAL 4 | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| FAL 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
FAL 55.2% · Draw 24.4% · STJ 20.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Falkirk at 55% — St Johnstone concede 1.5 per game, and the model sees that.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.8 vs 1.0 leaves little room for St Johnstone to force this open.
THE CAVEAT
Falkirk are on a 5-match winning streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
ON A RUN · FAL5 wins in a row
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
FAL
4-2-3-1STJ
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.578%
OVER 2.553%
OVER 3.531%
BTTS54%
FAL CLEAN SHEET36%
STJ CLEAN SHEET17%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
FAL
STJ
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
FAL
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
15
points · W5 D0 L0STJ
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
6
points · W1 D3 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.38SCORED · PER 90
FAL
1.61
LEAGUE1.38
STJ
1.30
FAL scores +0.31 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
FAL
1.05
LEAGUE1.38
STJ
1.54
FAL concedes 0.49 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
FAL
3rd
On 21 points.
STJ
7th
On 17 points.
FAL sit 4 places higher in the table