Photo: daniel0685, CC BY 2.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4' | away | Finley Barbrook | 0-1 |
| 17' | away | Owen Eames | 0-2 |
| 33' | away | Jacob Murrell | 0-3 |
| 45'+2' | away | Liam Henderson | 0-4 |
| 47' | away | Jacob Murrell | 0-5 |
| 50' | home | Severin Sabri Guendouz | 1-5 |
| 75' | home | Cláudio Braga | 2-5 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: HOM 52% · Draw 25% · FAL 23%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Falkirk won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 24%. Heart of Midlothian had more shots (16–14) but fewer on target (6–7).
Pre-match call frozen 8 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Finley Barbrook
4'
0–1
Owen Eames
17'
0–2
Jacob Murrell
33'
0–3
Severin Sabri Guendouz
On for Yan Dhanda
45'
Liam Henderson
47'
0–4
Jacob Murrell
47'
0–5
Severin Sabri Guendouz
50'
1–5
Ben Krauhaus
On for Brad Spencer
57'
Leart Kabashi
On for Malachi Walcott
60'
Finley Barbrook
Booked
64'
Owen Eames
Booked
65'
Jacob Murrell
Booked
68'
CJ Fodrey
On for Owen Eames
70'
Cláudio Braga
75'
2–5
CJ Fodrey
Booked
78'
Deniss Melniks
Booked
79'
Leart Kabashi
Booked
79'
Ben Parkinson
On for Jacob Murrell
79'
James Wilson
On for Cláudio Braga
84'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
30 shots
Expected goals over time
1.84 – 2.54
accuracy · 38%
kill rate · 13%
accuracy · 50%
kill rate · 36%
Falkirk turned 36% of shots into goals to Heart of Midlothian's 13%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
Scottish PremiershipKey context
Venue
Tynecastle Park
Kick-off
8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
