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Rangers vs Aberdeen
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 10:55 UTC · 13 NovRAN 68%Draw 20%ABE 13%
Expected goals · RAN 2.2 · ABE 0.8 · 3.0 total
RAN's attack (1.32x the league average) against ABE's defence (1.08x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for RAN's win chance, the blue ones for ABE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| RAN goals | ABE 0 | ABE 1 | ABE 2 | ABE 3 | ABE 4 | ABE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAN 0 | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| RAN 1 | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| RAN 2 | 12% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| RAN 3 | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| RAN 4 | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| RAN 5 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
RAN 67.6% · Draw 19.9% · ABE 12.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (2.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Rangers at 68% — Aberdeen concede 1.5 per game, and the model sees that.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 2.2 vs 0.8 leaves little room for Aberdeen to force this open.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
RAN
4-2-3-1ABE
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Rangers
Suspended · Red card · Could return, due 16 Nov
Groin Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knee Surgery · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 30 Apr
Aberdeen
Foot Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Tendon Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Thigh Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.581%
OVER 2.558%
OVER 3.536%
BTTS51%
RAN CLEAN SHEET43%
ABE CLEAN SHEET11%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
RAN
ABE
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
RAN
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
11
points · W3 D2 L0ABE
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–4 to Hibernian last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.38SCORED · PER 90
RAN
1.80
LEAGUE1.38
ABE
1.00
RAN scores +0.80 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
RAN
0.75
LEAGUE1.38
ABE
1.54
RAN concedes 0.79 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
RAN
2nd
On 27 points.
ABE
11th
On 11 points.
RAN sit 9 places higher in the table