Photo: daniel0685, CC BY 2.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Heart of Midlothian won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 53%. Heart of Midlothian had more shots (18–8) and more on target (6–1).
Pre-match call frozen 10 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Laurent Mendy
20'
1–0
Calvin Miller
Booked
23'
Alexander Gogic
Booked
30'
Calvin Miller
Penalty
32'
2–0
Chris Mochrie
Booked
45'
Jake Young
On for Fraser Taylor
45'
Calvin Miller
Penalty
50'
3–0
Cláudio Braga
54'
4–0
Sabah Kerjota
On for Calvin Miller
56'
Severin Sabri Guendouz
Booked
65'
Eseosa Sule
On for Ismeal Kabia
67'
Jerome Williams
On for James Wilson
73'
Severin Sabri Guendouz
On for Cláudio Braga
74'
Joshua McPake
80'
5–0
Stuart Findlay
On for Joshua McPake
82'
Marcus Fraser
On for Calvin Ramsay
82'
Killian Phillips
Booked
90'+1'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
26 shots
Expected goals over time
3.44 – 0.68
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 28%
accuracy · 13%
kill rate · 0%
Heart of Midlothian turned 28% of shots into goals to St Mirren's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
Scottish PremiershipKey context
Venue
Tynecastle Park
Kick-off
10 Oct · 14:00 UTC
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
