Alex Petxarromán
Booked
20'
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Real Oviedo won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 38%. Ceuta had more shots (28–17) but fewer on target (7–9).
Pre-match call frozen 18 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Alex Petxarromán
Booked
20'
Marino Illescas
Booked
22'
Samu Rodríguez
23'
0–1
David Jiménez
Booked
25'
Jordi Escobar
Booked
43'
Redru
On for Alex Petxarromán
45'
José Luis Morales
On for Víctor García Mingo
59'
Carlos Domínguez
61'
0–2
Omar Sadik
On for Edgar Sevikyan
72'
Jacobo González
On for Mikel Goti
74'
Abraham Bueno Espinosa
On for Matos
81'
Alejandro Camacho
83'
1–2
Daniel Villahermosa
On for Enzo Pérez Miranda
84'
Kuki Zalazar
Booked
90'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
45 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 25%
kill rate · 4%
accuracy · 53%
kill rate · 12%
Real Oviedo turned 12% of shots into goals to Ceuta's 4%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
Segunda DivisiónKey context
Venue
Estadio Alfonso Murube
Kick-off
18 Oct · 12:00 UTC
Referee
Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla
Spain · 4.7 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.