Photo: Sailko, CC BY 3.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4' | home | Mateo Pellegrino | 1-0 |
| 32' | away | Nick Woltemade | 1-1 |
| 54' | home | Alieu Njie | 2-1 |
| 66' | away | Bremer | 2-2 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: FIO 31% · Draw 28% · JUV 42%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 31%. Fiorentina had more shots (22–18) and the same number on target (6–6).
Pre-match call frozen 8 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Mateo Pellegrino
Assist · Pedro Gonçalves
4'
1–0
Juan Cabal
Booked
13'
Bremer
Booked
22'
Nick Woltemade
32'
1–1
Christ Inao Oulaï
Booked
50'
Alieu Njie
54'
2–1
Zeki Çelik
On for Juan Cabal
56'
Edon Zhegrova
On for Nick Woltemade
57'
Marco Brescianini
On for Pedro Gonçalves
65'
Bremer
Assist · Douglas Luiz
66'
2–2
Randal Kolo Muani
Booked
73'
Jeff Ekhator
On for Weston McKennie
78'
Beto
On for Mateo Pellegrino
86'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
High Pressing Battle
Both sides pressed aggressively. Territory was won and lost in the opposition half.
40 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 27%
kill rate · 9%
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 11%
Juventus turned 11% of shots into goals to Fiorentina's 9%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings3
Home
2.2 goals / game
3
Away
4
Draw
League Standing
Serie AKey context
Venue
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Kick-off
8 Nov · 19:45 UTC
Referee
Andrea Colombo
Italy · 4.0 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
