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Bologna vs Udinese
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:45 UTC · 10 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
BOL 43%Draw 26%UDI 31%
Expected goals · BOL 1.6 · UDI 1.3 · 2.9 total
BOL's attack (0.95x, below the league average) against UDI's defence (1.17x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for BOL's win chance, the blue ones for UDI's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| BOL goals | UDI 0 | UDI 1 | UDI 2 | UDI 3 | UDI 4 | UDI 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOL 0 | 6% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| BOL 1 | 8% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| BOL 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| BOL 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BOL 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BOL 5 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BOL 42.9% · Draw 26.1% · UDI 31.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Bologna have the edge at 43% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 38% of outcomes — 1-1 at 12% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
BOL
3-4-2-1UDI
3-4-2-1Christian Kabasele · Matteo Palma · James Abankwah · Mërgim Vojvoda
Hassane Kamara · Jürgen Ekkelenkamp · Lennon Miller · Jesper Karlström
Bench · 12
Ebosse, Chakvetadze, Solet, Gómez, Piotrowski, Zarraga +6
Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Bologna
Thigh Injury · Expected back 28 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 28 Feb
Udinese
Calf Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Ankle Injury · Expected back 31 Dec
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.579%
OVER 2.555%
OVER 3.532%
BTTS58%
BOL CLEAN SHEET27%
UDI CLEAN SHEET21%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BOL
UDI
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
BOL
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1UDI
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to Venezia last outSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.31SCORED · PER 90
BOL
1.39
LEAGUE1.31
UDI
1.12
BOL scores +0.27 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
BOL
1.25
LEAGUE1.31
UDI
1.61
BOL concedes 0.36 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
BOL
8th
Mid-table on 17 points.
UDI
20th
In the relegation zone on 5 points.
BOL sit 12 places higher in the table
