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Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 20:43 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
COR 33%Draw 28%KOC 39%
Expected goals · COR 1.2 · KOC 1.3 · 2.5 total
Expected goals are close (1.2 vs 1.3) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for COR's win chance, the blue ones for KOC's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| COR goals | KOC 0 | KOC 1 | KOC 2 | KOC 3 | KOC 4 | KOC 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COR 0 | 9% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| COR 1 | 9% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| COR 2 | 6% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| COR 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| COR 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| COR 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
COR 33.3% · Draw 28.2% · KOC 38.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
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Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Neither team separates themselves here — 39% for the slight favourite, 28% for the draw.
THE ANGLE
Çorum FK score 1.9/game at home, Kocaelispor score 1.2/game away — the sides are matched closely.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
COR
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.573%
OVER 2.547%
OVER 3.525%
BTTS52%
COR CLEAN SHEET27%
KOC CLEAN SHEET30%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
COR
KOC
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
COR
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–5 last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2KOC
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
2
games without concedingLAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
COR
1.89
LEAGUE1.40
KOC
1.19
COR scores +0.70 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
COR
1.92
LEAGUE1.40
KOC
0.81
KOC concedes 1.11 fewer per 90