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Istanbul Basaksehir vs Çorum FK
23 Nov · 17:00 UTC
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 14:08 UTC · 11 NovIBA 53%Draw 20%COR 26%
Expected goals · IBA 2.4 · COR 1.7 · 4.1 total
IBA's attack (1.35x the league average) against COR's defence (1.15x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for IBA's win chance, the blue ones for COR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| IBA goals | COR 0 | COR 1 | COR 2 | COR 3 | COR 4 | COR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBA 0 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| IBA 1 | 4% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| IBA 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| IBA 3 | 4% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| IBA 4 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| IBA 5 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
IBA 53.5% · Draw 20.1% · COR 26.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (4.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Istanbul Basaksehir have the edge at 53% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 2.4 vs 1.7 gives Istanbul Basaksehir the edge but leaves room for Çorum FK to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
IBA
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Istanbul Basaksehir
Knee Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.592%
OVER 2.578%
OVER 3.559%
BTTS75%
IBA CLEAN SHEET18%
COR CLEAN SHEET9%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
IBA
COR
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
IBA
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1COR
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 0–5 last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
IBA
1.75
LEAGUE1.40
COR
1.89
COR scores +0.14 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
IBA
1.53
LEAGUE1.40
COR
1.92
IBA concedes 0.39 fewer per 90
