Turning point · 79'Aaron Collins2–1Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Milton Keynes Dons won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 25%. Luton Town had more shots (25–11) and more on target (5–3).
Pre-match call frozen 17 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Alex Gilbey
25'
1–0
Ryan Wintle
Booked
57'
Ben Wiles
On for Ibrahim Fullah
59'
Callum Marshall
On for Nahki Wells
59'
Alex Gilbey
Booked
64'
Jordan Clark
70'
1–1
Emilio Lawrence
On for Jamie Donley
75'
Aaron Collins
Penalty
79'
2–1
Devante Cole
On for Kasey Palmer
83'
Isaiah Jones
On for Mads Andersen
84'
Cohen Bramall
On for Samuel Silvera
89'
Gethin Jones
On for Aaron Collins
90'+4'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
High Pressing Battle
Both sides pressed aggressively. Territory was won and lost in the opposition half.
36 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 27%
kill rate · 18%
accuracy · 20%
kill rate · 4%
Milton Keynes Dons turned 18% of shots into goals to Luton Town's 4%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
