Photo: CheckeredYeti, CC BY-SA 4.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Nashville SC won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 85%. Nashville SC had more shots (18–8) and more on target (11–1).
Pre-match call frozen 14 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Hany Mukhtar
Assist · Andy Nájar
10'
1–0
Sam Surridge
Assist · Hany Mukhtar
17'
2–0
Andy Nájar
Assist · Cristian Espinoza
29'
3–0
Jacob Bartlett
On for Zorhan Bassong
45'
Taylor Calheira
On for Seymour Reid
53'
Daniel Lovitz
On for Andy Nájar
68'
Jacob Davis
On for Ian James
69'
Bryan Acosta
On for Matthew Corcoran
76'
Emir Karic
On for Jayden Reid
81'
Alex Muyl
On for Sam Surridge
83'
Warren Madrigal
Penalty
95'
4–0
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
27 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 61%
kill rate · 22%
accuracy · 13%
kill rate · 0%
Nashville SC turned 22% of shots into goals to Sporting Kansas City's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
MLSKey context
Venue
GEODIS Park
Kick-off
15 Oct · 00:30 UTC
Referee
Joshua Encarnacion
USA · 3.0 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
