Match Forecast · Public record
All our calls
Every forecast we’ve published and graded — the ones we got right and the ones we got wrong. Bad forecasts are content, not embarrassment.
Calls graded520
Top pick right54%
Mean Brier0.592
These stats cover the current model only. The list also keeps 909 graded calls from the previous model (dc-v1.15), tagged “Previous model” — they don’t count towards the current model’s record.
- WrongLevante v Athletic Club0–0Previous modelLa LigaWe said Home win at 44%Result DrawBrier 0.79816 Sept 2026
- RightBarcelona v Racing Santander7–2Previous modelLa LigaWe said Home win at 70%Result Home winBrier 0.13816 Sept 2026
- RightAtlético Madrid v Osasuna4–0Previous modelLa LigaWe said Home win at 55%Result Home winBrier 0.30516 Sept 2026
- WrongDeportivo v Sevilla0–1Previous modelLa LigaWe said Home win at 43%Result Away winBrier 0.75616 Sept 2026
- RightElche v Real Madrid2–3Previous modelLa LigaWe said Away win at 50%Result Away winBrier 0.37115 Sept 2026
- WrongMiddlesbrough v Millwall2–2Previous modelChampionshipWe said Home win at 58%Result DrawBrier 1.01415 Sept 2026
- WrongBristol City v Lincoln City0–1Previous modelChampionshipWe said Home win at 42%Result Away winBrier 0.78215 Sept 2026
- RightAjax Amsterdam v Willem II5–1Previous modelEredivisieWe said Home win at 56%Result Home winBrier 0.29215 Sept 2026
- WrongAlavés v Valencia0–1Previous modelLa LigaWe said Home win at 71%Result Away winBrier 1.37215 Sept 2026
- RightRayo Vallecano v Espanyol2–1Previous modelLa LigaWe said Home win at 38%Result Home winBrier 0.58015 Sept 2026
- RightBraga v Estoril1–0Previous modelPrimeira LigaWe said Home win at 47%Result Home winBrier 0.43614 Sept 2026
- RightLeeds United v Newcastle United4–1Previous modelPremier LeagueWe said Home win at 37%Result Home winBrier 0.59014 Sept 2026
- WrongVillarreal v Real Betis1–2Previous modelLa LigaWe said Home win at 40%Result Away winBrier 0.67414 Sept 2026
- RightInternazionale v Udinese5–3Previous modelSerie AWe said Home win at 53%Result Home winBrier 0.32514 Sept 2026
- WrongRio Ave v Estrela3–3Previous modelPrimeira LigaWe said Away win at 56%Result DrawBrier 0.91614 Sept 2026
- RightTorino v AS Roma0–2Previous modelSerie AWe said Away win at 48%Result Away winBrier 0.40014 Sept 2026
- RightComo v Parma2–1Previous modelSerie AWe said Home win at 59%Result Home winBrier 0.26414 Sept 2026
- WrongFC Famalicao v Sporting CP1–1Previous modelPrimeira LigaWe said Away win at 40%Result DrawBrier 0.74513 Sept 2026
- WrongReal Sociedad v Atlético Madrid0–3Previous modelLa LigaWe said Home win at 40%Result Away winBrier 0.71713 Sept 2026
- WrongBrest v Paris Saint-Germain0–1Previous modelLigue 1We said Home win at 42%Result Away winBrier 0.71613 Sept 2026
- RightPSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam4–1Previous modelEredivisieWe said Home win at 64%Result Home winBrier 0.19313 Sept 2026
- WrongArouca v Santa Clara1–2Previous modelPrimeira LigaWe said Home win at 47%Result Away winBrier 0.86313 Sept 2026
- WrongGetafe v Deportivo1–1Previous modelLa LigaWe said Away win at 36%Tight — draw liveResult DrawBrier 0.71113 Sept 2026
- RightNapoli v Bologna1–0Previous modelSerie AWe said Home win at 45%Result Home winBrier 0.44813 Sept 2026
- RightManchester United v Manchester City0–1Previous modelPremier LeagueWe said Away win at 39%Result Away winBrier 0.55713 Sept 2026