Skip to main content
Follow your club

Match Forecast · Public record

All our calls

Every forecast we’ve published and graded — the ones we got right and the ones we got wrong. Bad forecasts are content, not embarrassment.

Calls graded516
Top pick right54%
Mean Brier0.592

These stats cover the current model only. The list also keeps 909 graded calls from the previous model (dc-v1.15), tagged “Previous model” — they don’t count towards the current model’s record.

  1. RightBarcelona v Alavés6–1
    La LigaWe said Home win at 77%Result Home winBrier 0.08031 Oct 2026
  2. WrongAC Milan v Internazionale3–1
    Serie AWe said Away win at 54%Result Home winBrier 0.94631 Oct 2026
  3. RightAnderlecht v KVC Westerlo4–1
    Belgian Pro LeagueWe said Home win at 44%Result Home winBrier 0.47231 Oct 2026
  4. RightWaasland-Beveren v Union St.-Gilloise1–2
    Belgian Pro LeagueWe said Away win at 54%Result Away winBrier 0.32231 Oct 2026
  5. WrongTroyes v Le Mans2–0
    Ligue 1We said Away win at 39%Result Home winBrier 0.70131 Oct 2026
  6. RightKarlsruher SC v 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–1
    Bundesliga 2We said Home win at 42%Result Home winBrier 0.52031 Oct 2026
  7. WrongGuingamp v Saint-Étienne3–0
    Ligue 2We said Away win at 46%Result Home winBrier 0.82131 Oct 2026
  8. RightCoritiba v Vitória2–0
    Brazil Serie AWe said Home win at 47%Result Home winBrier 0.42331 Oct 2026
  9. WrongSt. Louis CITY SC v San Diego FC0–1
    MlsWe said Home win at 49%Result Away winBrier 0.78331 Oct 2026
  10. WrongSporting Kansas City v FC Dallas1–1
    MlsWe said Away win at 51%Result DrawBrier 0.93131 Oct 2026
  11. RightSampdoria v Virtus Entella2–0
    Serie BWe said Home win at 40%Tight — draw liveResult Home winBrier 0.53831 Oct 2026
  12. RightAl Hilal v Al Fateh2–0
    Saudi Pro LeagueWe said Home win at 80%Result Home winBrier 0.06031 Oct 2026
  13. RightColumbus Crew v D.C. United3–0
    MlsWe said Home win at 62%Result Home winBrier 0.21431 Oct 2026
  14. WrongNew York City FC v CF Montréal1–1
    MlsWe said Home win at 62%Result DrawBrier 1.00431 Oct 2026
  15. WrongFC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union1–0
    MlsWe said Away win at 44%Result Home winBrier 0.68031 Oct 2026
  16. RightHeerenveen v NEC Nijmegen1–0
    EredivisieWe said Home win at 44%Result Home winBrier 0.47331 Oct 2026
  17. RightPSV Eindhoven v Willem II7–0
    EredivisieWe said Home win at 91%Result Home winBrier 0.01331 Oct 2026
  18. WrongRC Celta Fortuna v Córdoba2–2
    Segunda DivisionWe said Home win at 46%Result DrawBrier 0.90231 Oct 2026
  19. RightReal Betis v Málaga2–1
    La LigaWe said Home win at 65%Result Home winBrier 0.19331 Oct 2026
  20. WrongBayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund2–2
    BundesligaWe said Home win at 63%Result DrawBrier 1.06731 Oct 2026
  21. RightTottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace2–0
    Premier LeagueWe said Home win at 48%Result Home winBrier 0.41331 Oct 2026
  22. WrongStandard Liege v KV Kortrijk1–1
    Belgian Pro LeagueWe said Home win at 66%Result DrawBrier 1.04131 Oct 2026
  23. RightUdinese v AS Roma2–5
    Serie AWe said Away win at 58%Result Away winBrier 0.27031 Oct 2026
  24. RightCharlotte FC v Orlando City SC4–0
    MlsWe said Home win at 64%Result Home winBrier 0.19931 Oct 2026
  25. WrongCatanzaro v Padova1–1
    Serie BWe said Home win at 45%Result DrawBrier 0.86231 Oct 2026

Grading uses the same helpers as the monthly calibration summary, so this list can never disagree with it. Brier score measures how far the whole probability set sat from the result — a hedged wrong call costs less than a confident one.