Match Forecast · Public record
All our calls
Every forecast we’ve published and graded — the ones we got right and the ones we got wrong. Bad forecasts are content, not embarrassment.
Calls graded520
Top pick right54%
Mean Brier0.592
These stats cover the current model only. The list also keeps 909 graded calls from the previous model (dc-v1.15), tagged “Previous model” — they don’t count towards the current model’s record.
- WrongIndependiente v Instituto (Córdoba)1–4Previous modelArgentine PrimeraWe said Home win at 38%Tight — draw liveResult Away winBrier 0.74429 Sept 2026
- WrongEldense v Real Oviedo4–1Previous modelSegunda DivisionWe said Away win at 41%Result Home winBrier 0.76029 Sept 2026
- RightSeattle Sounders FC v Sporting Kansas City2–1Previous modelMlsWe said Home win at 60%Result Home winBrier 0.24329 Sept 2026
- RightRed Bull New York v St. Louis CITY SC0–3Previous modelMlsWe said Away win at 46%Result Away winBrier 0.44329 Sept 2026
- RightStockport County v Peterborough United1–0Previous modelLeague OneWe said Home win at 71%Result Home winBrier 0.13026 Sept 2026
- WrongWycombe Wanderers v Reading2–2Previous modelLeague OneWe said Away win at 37%Result DrawBrier 0.79726 Sept 2026
- WrongFC Porto v Benfica3–1Previous modelPrimeira LigaWe said Away win at 43%Result Home winBrier 0.71420 Sept 2026
- RightValencia v Real Sociedad2–3Previous modelLa LigaWe said Away win at 47%Result Away winBrier 0.42120 Sept 2026
- RightAC Milan v Lecce3–0Previous modelSerie AWe said Home win at 55%Result Home winBrier 0.30720 Sept 2026
- WrongMarseille v Paris Saint-Germain1–2Previous modelLigue 1We said Home win at 39%Result Away winBrier 0.66420 Sept 2026
- RightSC Paderborn 07 v TSG Hoffenheim3–1Previous modelBundesligaWe said Home win at 40%Result Home winBrier 0.54620 Sept 2026
- WrongEstoril v Casa Pia1–2Previous modelPrimeira LigaWe said Home win at 40%Tight — draw liveResult Away winBrier 0.89020 Sept 2026
- WrongSanta Clara v Braga0–0Previous modelPrimeira LigaWe said Home win at 54%Result DrawBrier 0.86520 Sept 2026
- RightVillarreal v Levante3–1Previous modelLa LigaWe said Home win at 46%Result Home winBrier 0.43520 Sept 2026
- WrongDeportivo v Real Betis1–1Previous modelLa LigaWe said Home win at 36%Tight — draw liveResult DrawBrier 0.72520 Sept 2026
- RightJuventus v Atalanta2–0Previous modelSerie AWe said Home win at 49%Result Home winBrier 0.39420 Sept 2026
- WrongSchalke 04 v SV Elversberg0–0Previous modelBundesligaWe said Away win at 41%Result DrawBrier 0.81120 Sept 2026
- WrongFulham v Manchester United1–1Previous modelPremier LeagueWe said Away win at 39%Result DrawBrier 0.79420 Sept 2026
- WrongNice v Lille2–1Previous modelLigue 1We said Away win at 40%Tight — draw liveResult Home winBrier 0.75420 Sept 2026
- WrongNEC Nijmegen v Go Ahead Eagles1–1Previous modelEredivisieWe said Home win at 44%Result DrawBrier 0.91420 Sept 2026
- WrongVitória de Guimaraes v Moreirense1–1Previous modelPrimeira LigaWe said Home win at 40%Tight — draw liveResult DrawBrier 0.68520 Sept 2026
- RightAtlético Madrid v Real Madrid2–1Previous modelLa LigaWe said Home win at 51%Result Home winBrier 0.35820 Sept 2026
- RightBayer Leverkusen v RB Leipzig2–0Previous modelBundesligaWe said Home win at 54%Result Home winBrier 0.31620 Sept 2026
- WrongFrosinone v Como2–0Previous modelSerie AWe said Away win at 40%Result Home winBrier 0.65220 Sept 2026
- RightAJ Auxerre v Brest2–1Previous modelLigue 1We said Home win at 38%Result Home winBrier 0.58620 Sept 2026