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Match Forecast · Public record

All our calls

Every forecast we’ve published and graded — the ones we got right and the ones we got wrong. Bad forecasts are content, not embarrassment.

Calls graded150
Top pick right46%
Mean Brier0.630
  1. WrongFC Twente v PSV Eindhoven3–2
    EredivisieWe said Away win at 53%Result Home winBrier 0.88820 Sept 2026
  2. WrongNorwich City v Bolton Wanderers3–4
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 61%Result Away winBrier 1.10320 Sept 2026
  3. RightGetafe v Málaga1–0
    La LigaWe said Home win at 52%Result Home winBrier 0.35420 Sept 2026
  4. RightWolverhampton Wanderers v West Bromwich Albion1–0
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 45%Result Home winBrier 0.45920 Sept 2026
  5. WrongFiorentina v Napoli1–1
    Serie AWe said Away win at 44%Result DrawBrier 0.83220 Sept 2026
  6. RightFeyenoord Rotterdam v FC Utrecht5–0
    EredivisieWe said Home win at 59%Result Home winBrier 0.24920 Sept 2026
  7. RightCelta Vigo v Racing Santander5–0
    La LigaWe said Home win at 42%Result Home winBrier 0.50019 Sept 2026
  8. WrongNottingham Forest v Coventry City0–1
    Premier LeagueWe said Home win at 45%Result Away winBrier 0.89519 Sept 2026
  9. WrongAS Roma v Internazionale2–2
    Serie AWe said Home win at 49%Result DrawBrier 0.85619 Sept 2026
  10. RightParis FC v Strasbourg2–1
    Ligue 1We said Home win at 51%Result Home winBrier 0.36419 Sept 2026
  11. WrongC.D. Nacional v FC Famalicao0–4
    Primeira LigaWe said Home win at 36%Result Away winBrier 0.68219 Sept 2026
  12. WrongWrexham v Southampton2–1
    ChampionshipWe said Away win at 41%Result Home winBrier 0.72519 Sept 2026
  13. WrongQueens Park Rangers v Preston North End2–2
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 48%Result DrawBrier 0.74219 Sept 2026
  14. RightLincoln City v Swansea City1–2
    ChampionshipWe said Away win at 37%Result Away winBrier 0.59719 Sept 2026
  15. WrongBirmingham City v Middlesbrough2–2
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 41%Result DrawBrier 0.81819 Sept 2026
  16. WrongAthletic Club v Alavés0–0
    La LigaWe said Home win at 44%Result DrawBrier 0.80019 Sept 2026
  17. WrongSheffield Wednesday v Stockport County0–0
    League OneWe said Away win at 41%Result DrawBrier 0.78019 Sept 2026
  18. WrongLuton Town v Bradford City0–1
    League OneWe said Home win at 41%Result Away winBrier 0.77219 Sept 2026
  19. RightWigan Athletic v Wycombe Wanderers0–1
    League OneWe said Away win at 48%Result Away winBrier 0.39819 Sept 2026
  20. WrongLeyton Orient v Stevenage1–0
    League OneWe said Away win at 49%Result Home winBrier 0.84919 Sept 2026
  21. WrongBlackpool v Plymouth Argyle2–4
    League OneWe said Home win at 47%Result Away winBrier 0.82319 Sept 2026
  22. RightPeterborough United v Doncaster Rovers0–2
    League OneWe said Away win at 36%Result Away winBrier 0.60819 Sept 2026
  23. WrongPortsmouth v Blackburn Rovers2–2
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 38%Result DrawBrier 0.75319 Sept 2026
  24. RightEverton v Ipswich Town1–0
    Premier LeagueWe said Home win at 55%Result Home winBrier 0.30819 Sept 2026
  25. WrongBrighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal3–0
    Premier LeagueWe said Away win at 37%Result Home winBrier 0.64419 Sept 2026

Grading uses the same helpers as the monthly calibration summary, so this list can never disagree with it. Brier score measures how far the whole probability set sat from the result — a hedged wrong call costs less than a confident one.

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