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Match Forecast · Public record

All our calls

Every forecast we’ve published and graded — the ones we got right and the ones we got wrong. Bad forecasts are content, not embarrassment.

Calls graded150
Top pick right46%
Mean Brier0.630
  1. WrongBurnley v Derby County1–1
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 50%Result DrawBrier 0.82819 Sept 2026
  2. RightNewcastle United v Hull City2–1
    Premier LeagueWe said Home win at 37%Result Home winBrier 0.59819 Sept 2026
  3. WrongWerder Bremen v FC Augsburg3–2
    BundesligaWe said Away win at 37%Result Home winBrier 0.60119 Sept 2026
  4. RightBorussia Mönchengladbach v Mainz3–4
    BundesligaWe said Away win at 53%Result Away winBrier 0.33319 Sept 2026
  5. RightUdinese v Cagliari0–1
    Serie AWe said Away win at 35%Result Away winBrier 0.63019 Sept 2026
  6. WrongBologna v Torino1–1
    Serie AWe said Home win at 35%Result DrawBrier 0.70919 Sept 2026
  7. WrongOsasuna v Rayo Vallecano1–1
    La LigaWe said Home win at 41%Result DrawBrier 0.78019 Sept 2026
  8. WrongMillwall v West Ham United2–2
    ChampionshipWe said Away win at 39%Result DrawBrier 0.88219 Sept 2026
  9. RightCardiff City v Charlton Athletic3–1
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 43%Result Home winBrier 0.48219 Sept 2026
  10. RightStoke City v Sheffield United2–1
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 50%Result Home winBrier 0.38019 Sept 2026
  11. WrongBarnsley v Leicester City1–1
    League OneWe said Away win at 42%Result DrawBrier 0.85919 Sept 2026
  12. WrongTottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa2–3
    Premier LeagueWe said Home win at 47%Result Away winBrier 0.97619 Sept 2026
  13. WrongEspanyol v Elche1–3
    La LigaWe said Home win at 45%Result Away winBrier 0.81718 Sept 2026
  14. RightBristol City v Watford1–0
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 44%Result Home winBrier 0.46318 Sept 2026
  15. RightBrentford v Chelsea3–0
    Premier LeagueWe said Home win at 52%Result Home winBrier 0.35218 Sept 2026
  16. RightMonza v Sassuolo2–1
    Serie AWe said Home win at 37%Result Home winBrier 0.59518 Sept 2026
  17. RightAS Monaco v Lens2–1
    Ligue 1We said Home win at 53%Result Home winBrier 0.33718 Sept 2026
  18. RightFC Groningen v PEC Zwolle3–0
    EredivisieWe said Home win at 38%Result Home winBrier 0.58818 Sept 2026
  19. RightVfL Wolfsburg v SV Darmstadt 985–1
    Bundesliga 2We said Home win at 49%Result Home winBrier 0.38918 Sept 2026
  20. WrongMálaga v Villarreal1–3
    La LigaWe said Home win at 34%Result Away winBrier 0.65817 Sept 2026
  21. RightReal Betis v Getafe1–0
    La LigaWe said Home win at 48%Result Home winBrier 0.41017 Sept 2026
  22. WrongLevante v Athletic Club0–0
    La LigaWe said Home win at 44%Result DrawBrier 0.79816 Sept 2026
  23. RightBarcelona v Racing Santander7–2
    La LigaWe said Home win at 70%Result Home winBrier 0.13816 Sept 2026
  24. RightAtlético Madrid v Osasuna4–0
    La LigaWe said Home win at 55%Result Home winBrier 0.30516 Sept 2026
  25. WrongDeportivo v Sevilla0–1
    La LigaWe said Home win at 43%Result Away winBrier 0.75616 Sept 2026

Grading uses the same helpers as the monthly calibration summary, so this list can never disagree with it. Brier score measures how far the whole probability set sat from the result — a hedged wrong call costs less than a confident one.

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