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Match Forecast · Public record

All our calls

Every forecast we’ve published and graded — the ones we got right and the ones we got wrong. Bad forecasts are content, not embarrassment.

Calls graded516
Top pick right54%
Mean Brier0.592

These stats cover the current model only. The list also keeps 909 graded calls from the previous model (dc-v1.15), tagged “Previous model” — they don’t count towards the current model’s record.

  1. RightReading v Leyton Orient1–0
    Previous modelLeague OneWe said Home win at 44%Result Home winBrier 0.46621 Oct 2026
  2. RightUrawa Red Diamonds v JEF United Ichihara-Chiba3–2
    Previous modelJ1 LeagueWe said Home win at 55%Result Home winBrier 0.30721 Oct 2026
  3. WrongNagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka1–1
    Previous modelJ1 LeagueWe said Home win at 56%Result DrawBrier 0.92221 Oct 2026
  4. WrongFC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol0–0
    Previous modelJ1 LeagueWe said Home win at 50%Result DrawBrier 0.91421 Oct 2026
  5. WrongAvispa Fukuoka v Gamba Osaka1–2
    Previous modelJ1 LeagueWe said Home win at 47%Result Away winBrier 0.83421 Oct 2026
  6. WrongKyoto Sanga v Kashima Antlers2–2
    Previous modelJ1 LeagueWe said Away win at 49%Result DrawBrier 0.92421 Oct 2026
  7. RightAtlas v América2–5
    Previous modelLiga MxWe said Away win at 50%Result Away winBrier 0.37221 Oct 2026
  8. WrongYokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy 19692–2
    Previous modelJ1 LeagueWe said Home win at 59%Result DrawBrier 0.92721 Oct 2026
  9. WrongV-Varen Nagasaki v Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–0
    Previous modelJ1 LeagueWe said Away win at 52%Result Home winBrier 0.94121 Oct 2026
  10. RightShimizu S-Pulse v Machida Zelvia0–5
    Previous modelJ1 LeagueWe said Away win at 52%Result Away winBrier 0.34421 Oct 2026
  11. WrongKawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe2–1
    Previous modelJ1 LeagueWe said Away win at 39%Result Home winBrier 0.60121 Oct 2026
  12. RightFagiano Okayama v Mito Hollyhock2–0
    Previous modelJ1 LeagueWe said Home win at 37%Result Home winBrier 0.58921 Oct 2026
  13. WrongTigres UANL v León0–2
    Previous modelLiga MxWe said Home win at 48%Result Away winBrier 0.84421 Oct 2026
  14. RightFC Juárez v Atlante0–1
    Previous modelLiga MxWe said Away win at 41%Result Away winBrier 0.52321 Oct 2026
  15. WrongAtlético de San Luis v Querétaro2–1
    Previous modelLiga MxWe said Away win at 39%Result Home winBrier 0.65521 Oct 2026
  16. RightGuadalajara v Necaxa1–0
    Previous modelLiga MxWe said Home win at 56%Result Home winBrier 0.29520 Oct 2026
  17. RightHuddersfield Town v Peterborough United4–1
    Previous modelLeague OneWe said Home win at 60%Result Home winBrier 0.23620 Oct 2026
  18. WrongCambridge United v Wycombe Wanderers2–2
    Previous modelLeague OneWe said Home win at 51%Result DrawBrier 0.90120 Oct 2026
  19. RightOxford United v Wigan Athletic2–1
    Previous modelLeague OneWe said Home win at 57%Result Home winBrier 0.27920 Oct 2026
  20. WrongBurton Albion v Bradford City0–0
    Previous modelLeague OneWe said Away win at 36%Result DrawBrier 0.75020 Oct 2026
  21. WrongAFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town0–3
    Previous modelLeague OneWe said Home win at 43%Result Away winBrier 0.80920 Oct 2026
  22. RightBromley v Leicester City0–4
    Previous modelLeague OneWe said Away win at 45%Result Away winBrier 0.45420 Oct 2026
  23. RightLuton Town v Barnsley2–1
    Previous modelLeague OneWe said Home win at 53%Result Home winBrier 0.32820 Oct 2026
  24. WrongNotts County v Sheffield Wednesday2–0
    Previous modelLeague OneWe said Away win at 49%Result Home winBrier 0.87820 Oct 2026
  25. RightDoncaster Rovers v Stockport County0–2
    Previous modelLeague OneWe said Away win at 41%Result Away winBrier 0.52320 Oct 2026

Grading uses the same helpers as the monthly calibration summary, so this list can never disagree with it. Brier score measures how far the whole probability set sat from the result — a hedged wrong call costs less than a confident one.