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Match Forecast · Public record

All our calls

Every forecast we’ve published and graded — the ones we got right and the ones we got wrong. Bad forecasts are content, not embarrassment.

Calls graded150
Top pick right46%
Mean Brier0.630
  1. WrongVitória de Guimaraes v Casa Pia0–0
    Primeira LigaWe said Home win at 54%Result DrawBrier 0.8626 Sept 2026
  2. WrongMálaga v Levante0–0
    La LigaWe said Home win at 42%Result DrawBrier 0.7726 Sept 2026
  3. RightAlavés v Osasuna5–2
    La LigaWe said Home win at 47%Result Home winBrier 0.4176 Sept 2026
  4. RightValencia v Barcelona0–5
    La LigaWe said Away win at 52%Result Away winBrier 0.3406 Sept 2026
  5. RightHeerenveen v AZ Alkmaar2–3
    EredivisieWe said Away win at 50%Result Away winBrier 0.3776 Sept 2026
  6. WrongBirmingham City v Wolverhampton Wanderers2–2
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 40%Result DrawBrier 0.8696 Sept 2026
  7. WrongAthletic Club v Atlético Madrid3–0
    La LigaWe said Away win at 43%Result Home winBrier 0.7235 Sept 2026
  8. RightReading v Blackpool3–1
    League OneWe said Home win at 49%Result Home winBrier 0.3875 Sept 2026
  9. WrongLuton Town v Leyton Orient1–1
    League OneWe said Home win at 49%Result DrawBrier 0.8885 Sept 2026
  10. WrongDoncaster Rovers v Plymouth Argyle2–3
    League OneWe said Home win at 46%Result Away winBrier 0.8575 Sept 2026
  11. RightBradford City v Mansfield Town1–0
    League OneWe said Home win at 59%Result Home winBrier 0.2585 Sept 2026
  12. WrongBarnsley v Stevenage1–5
    League OneWe said Home win at 51%Result Away winBrier 0.9355 Sept 2026
  13. RightWest Ham United v Derby County3–0
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 46%Result Home winBrier 0.4345 Sept 2026
  14. RightWest Bromwich Albion v Watford1–0
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 51%Result Home winBrier 0.3645 Sept 2026
  15. WrongSheffield United v Norwich City1–3
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 52%Result Away winBrier 0.9605 Sept 2026
  16. WrongQueens Park Rangers v Middlesbrough0–1
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 46%Result Away winBrier 0.8365 Sept 2026
  17. WrongPortsmouth v Cardiff City2–0
    ChampionshipWe said Away win at 38%Result Home winBrier 0.6115 Sept 2026
  18. RightMillwall v Bolton Wanderers4–0
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 43%Result Home winBrier 0.4945 Sept 2026
  19. RightBurnley v Bristol City1–2
    ChampionshipWe said Away win at 42%Result Away winBrier 0.5025 Sept 2026
  20. RightPeterborough United v Sheffield Wednesday1–2
    League OneWe said Away win at 37%Result Away winBrier 0.5915 Sept 2026
  21. WrongStoke City v Charlton Athletic4–0
    ChampionshipWe said Away win at 39%Result Home winBrier 0.6715 Sept 2026
  22. WrongPreston North End v Blackburn Rovers2–1
    ChampionshipWe said Away win at 42%Result Home winBrier 0.7155 Sept 2026
  23. WrongLincoln City v Southampton1–1
    ChampionshipWe said Away win at 39%Result DrawBrier 0.7835 Sept 2026
  24. WrongReal Betis v Real Madrid1–0
    La LigaWe said Away win at 37%Result Home winBrier 0.6214 Sept 2026
  25. WrongSparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle2–2
    EredivisieWe said Home win at 42%Result DrawBrier 0.8424 Sept 2026

Grading uses the same helpers as the monthly calibration summary, so this list can never disagree with it. Brier score measures how far the whole probability set sat from the result — a hedged wrong call costs less than a confident one.

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