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Match Forecast · Public record

All our calls

Every forecast we’ve published and graded — the ones we got right and the ones we got wrong. Bad forecasts are content, not embarrassment.

Calls graded150
Top pick right46%
Mean Brier0.630
  1. RightElche v Real Madrid2–3
    La LigaWe said Away win at 50%Result Away winBrier 0.37115 Sept 2026
  2. WrongMiddlesbrough v Millwall2–2
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 58%Result DrawBrier 1.01415 Sept 2026
  3. WrongBristol City v Lincoln City0–1
    ChampionshipWe said Home win at 42%Result Away winBrier 0.78215 Sept 2026
  4. RightAjax Amsterdam v Willem II5–1
    EredivisieWe said Home win at 56%Result Home winBrier 0.29215 Sept 2026
  5. WrongAlavés v Valencia0–1
    La LigaWe said Home win at 71%Result Away winBrier 1.37215 Sept 2026
  6. RightRayo Vallecano v Espanyol2–1
    La LigaWe said Home win at 38%Result Home winBrier 0.58015 Sept 2026
  7. RightBraga v Estoril1–0
    Primeira LigaWe said Home win at 47%Result Home winBrier 0.43614 Sept 2026
  8. RightLeeds United v Newcastle United4–1
    Premier LeagueWe said Home win at 37%Result Home winBrier 0.59014 Sept 2026
  9. WrongVillarreal v Real Betis1–2
    La LigaWe said Home win at 40%Result Away winBrier 0.67414 Sept 2026
  10. RightInternazionale v Udinese5–3
    Serie AWe said Home win at 53%Result Home winBrier 0.32514 Sept 2026
  11. WrongRio Ave v Estrela3–3
    Primeira LigaWe said Away win at 56%Result DrawBrier 0.91614 Sept 2026
  12. RightTorino v AS Roma0–2
    Serie AWe said Away win at 48%Result Away winBrier 0.40014 Sept 2026
  13. RightComo v Parma2–1
    Serie AWe said Home win at 59%Result Home winBrier 0.26414 Sept 2026
  14. WrongFC Famalicao v Sporting CP1–1
    Primeira LigaWe said Away win at 40%Result DrawBrier 0.74513 Sept 2026
  15. WrongReal Sociedad v Atlético Madrid0–3
    La LigaWe said Home win at 40%Result Away winBrier 0.71713 Sept 2026
  16. WrongBrest v Paris Saint-Germain0–1
    Ligue 1We said Home win at 42%Result Away winBrier 0.71613 Sept 2026
  17. RightPSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam4–1
    EredivisieWe said Home win at 64%Result Home winBrier 0.19313 Sept 2026
  18. WrongArouca v Santa Clara1–2
    Primeira LigaWe said Home win at 47%Result Away winBrier 0.86313 Sept 2026
  19. WrongGetafe v Deportivo1–1
    La LigaWe said Away win at 36%Result DrawBrier 0.71113 Sept 2026
  20. RightNapoli v Bologna1–0
    Serie AWe said Home win at 45%Result Home winBrier 0.44813 Sept 2026
  21. RightManchester United v Manchester City0–1
    Premier LeagueWe said Away win at 39%Result Away winBrier 0.55713 Sept 2026
  22. WrongLe Mans v Lens2–2
    Ligue 1We said Home win at 48%Result DrawBrier 0.83813 Sept 2026
  23. RightPEC Zwolle v Feyenoord Rotterdam0–7
    EredivisieWe said Away win at 45%Result Away winBrier 0.45713 Sept 2026
  24. RightLevante v Barcelona2–4
    La LigaWe said Away win at 57%Result Away winBrier 0.27913 Sept 2026
  25. RightCoventry City v Brighton & Hove Albion0–5
    Premier LeagueWe said Away win at 37%Result Away winBrier 0.59913 Sept 2026

Grading uses the same helpers as the monthly calibration summary, so this list can never disagree with it. Brier score measures how far the whole probability set sat from the result — a hedged wrong call costs less than a confident one.

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