Skip to main content
Follow your club

Match Forecast · Public record

All our calls

Every forecast we’ve published and graded — the ones we got right and the ones we got wrong. Bad forecasts are content, not embarrassment.

Calls graded516
Top pick right54%
Mean Brier0.592

These stats cover the current model only. The list also keeps 909 graded calls from the previous model (dc-v1.15), tagged “Previous model” — they don’t count towards the current model’s record.

  1. RightTigres UANL v Cruz Azul2–3
    Liga MxWe said Away win at 49%Result Away winBrier 0.3948 Nov 2026
  2. WrongInstituto (Córdoba) v Newell's Old Boys2–2
    Argentine PrimeraWe said Home win at 53%Result DrawBrier 0.8188 Nov 2026
  3. RightToluca v Monterrey4–0
    Liga MxWe said Home win at 54%Result Home winBrier 0.3168 Nov 2026
  4. RightSeattle Sounders FC v LAFC2–1
    MlsWe said Home win at 37%Result Home winBrier 0.5997 Nov 2026
  5. RightReal Salt Lake v LA Galaxy2–1
    MlsWe said Home win at 54%Result Home winBrier 0.3127 Nov 2026
  6. RightMinnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes3–1
    MlsWe said Home win at 43%Result Home winBrier 0.4857 Nov 2026
  7. RightFC Dallas v Colorado Rapids3–1
    MlsWe said Home win at 55%Result Home winBrier 0.3077 Nov 2026
  8. WrongSan Diego FC v Sporting Kansas City0–1
    MlsWe said Home win at 70%Result Away winBrier 1.2537 Nov 2026
  9. WrongHouston Dynamo FC v St. Louis CITY SC0–1
    MlsWe said Home win at 37%Tight — draw liveResult Away winBrier 0.6777 Nov 2026
  10. WrongAustin FC v Portland Timbers0–2
    MlsWe said Home win at 38%Result Away winBrier 0.6427 Nov 2026
  11. RightAtlas v Pachuca1–4
    Liga MxWe said Away win at 47%Result Away winBrier 0.4157 Nov 2026
  12. RightFC Cincinnati v Nashville SC0–2
    MlsWe said Away win at 43%Result Away winBrier 0.4947 Nov 2026
  13. RightOrlando City SC v New England Revolution1–0
    MlsWe said Home win at 45%Result Home winBrier 0.4547 Nov 2026
  14. RightPhiladelphia Union v Toronto FC4–1
    MlsWe said Home win at 66%Result Home winBrier 0.1737 Nov 2026
  15. RightCF Montréal v Vancouver Whitecaps0–2
    MlsWe said Away win at 53%Result Away winBrier 0.3287 Nov 2026
  16. RightChicago Fire FC v Columbus Crew3–4
    MlsWe said Away win at 39%Result Away winBrier 0.5647 Nov 2026
  17. RightD.C. United v New York City FC0–1
    MlsWe said Away win at 47%Result Away winBrier 0.4257 Nov 2026
  18. RightRed Bull New York v Atlanta United FC3–0
    MlsWe said Home win at 45%Result Home winBrier 0.4487 Nov 2026
  19. WrongInter Miami CF v Charlotte FC3–3
    MlsWe said Home win at 55%Result DrawBrier 1.0167 Nov 2026
  20. RightBoca Juniors v Defensa y Justicia1–0
    Argentine PrimeraWe said Home win at 50%Result Home winBrier 0.3797 Nov 2026
  21. WrongArgentinos Juniors v Huracán0–2
    Argentine PrimeraWe said Home win at 53%Result Away winBrier 1.0687 Nov 2026
  22. RightRosario Central v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2–0
    Argentine PrimeraWe said Home win at 71%Result Home winBrier 0.1337 Nov 2026
  23. RightSporting CP v Moreirense1–0
    Primeira LigaWe said Home win at 70%Result Home winBrier 0.1367 Nov 2026
  24. RightParis Saint-Germain v Troyes1–0
    Ligue 1We said Home win at 75%Result Home winBrier 0.0967 Nov 2026
  25. RightSt Mirren v Rangers0–2
    Scottish PremiershipWe said Away win at 44%Result Away winBrier 0.4637 Nov 2026

Grading uses the same helpers as the monthly calibration summary, so this list can never disagree with it. Brier score measures how far the whole probability set sat from the result — a hedged wrong call costs less than a confident one.